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Final 4-1
Target Field
TBR
Tampa Bay Rays
Nick Martinez
4
@
MIN
Minnesota Twins
Simeon Woods Richardson
1
2026-04-05 · 18:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (home)
run line
1 of 2 agree (home)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -10.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Minnesota's superior team pitching (4.27 ERA vs 5.92) and home field advantage give them a meaningful edge over a struggling Tampa Bay squad."
run line
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -28.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Minnesota's superior team pitching (4.27 ERA vs 5.92) and home field advantage give them a meaningful edge over a struggling Tampa Bay squad."
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Minnesota's superior team pitching (4.27 ERA vs 5.92) and home field advantage give them a meaningful edge over a struggling Tampa Bay squad."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TBR
Edge: -2.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TBR +1.5
Edge: +0.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
54%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 10.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -110 | -110 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -105 | -105 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -113/U -107) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -215 (-1.5) | +183 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -108 | -115 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -112/U -112) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -200 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -105 | -105 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -215 (-1.5) | +184 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -108 | -112 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -225 (-1.5) | +185 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -110 | -110 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -108 | -112 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -108/U -112) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +151 (+1.5) | -184 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -104 | -112 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +162 (+1.5) | -196 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -110 | -110 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +155 (+1.5) | -190 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -105 | -105 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -104) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -213 (-1.5) | +185 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -106 | -111 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -108/U -114) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -179 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.