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Final 5-7
Chase Field
DET
Detroit Tigers
Casey Mize
5
@
ARI
Arizona Diamondbacks
Brandon Pfaadt
7
2026-04-01 · 01:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +8.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Detroit's dominant early-season pitching staff (1.38 ERA) facing an Arizona lineup averaging just 2.67 runs/game gives the Tigers a clear edge."
run line
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -12.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Detroit's dominant early-season pitching staff (1.38 ERA) facing an Arizona lineup averaging just 2.67 runs/game gives the Tigers a clear edge."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Detroit's dominant early-season pitching staff (1.38 ERA) facing an Arizona lineup averaging just 2.67 runs/game gives the Tigers a clear edge."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
59%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
DET
Edge: +9.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
54%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
DET +1.5
Edge: -13.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
72%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 7.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -105 | -115 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +154 (+1.5) | -185 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +102 | -112 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -107/U -113) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +177 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -115 | -108 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -120) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +143 (+1.5) | -180 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -101 | -109 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +176 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -104 | -116 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -105 | -115 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -105 | -115 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.0 (O -108/U -112) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -176 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -172 | +144 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +104 (+1.5) | -125 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -170 | +140 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +100 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +102 | -112 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -104/U -110) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -204 (-1.5) | +179 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -105 | -112 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +161 (+1.5) | -200 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.