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Final 0-8 T-Mobile Park
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
Slade Cecconi
0
@
SEA
Seattle Mariners
Emerson Hancock
8
2026-03-29 · 23:20 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 2 models agree (home)
run line 1 of 2 agree (away)
over under All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 58% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -1.0% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"Seattle's superior team pitching metrics (3.86 ERA, 1.14 WHIP) and home field advantage at pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park give the Mariners a modest edge in a low-scoring game between two unproven 2026 starters."

run line 62% MED The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -1.2% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Seattle's superior team pitching metrics (3.86 ERA, 1.14 WHIP) and home field advantage at pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park give the Mariners a modest edge in a low-scoring game between two unproven 2026 starters."

over under 52% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Edge: +1.0% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Seattle's superior team pitching metrics (3.86 ERA, 1.14 WHIP) and home field advantage at pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park give the Mariners a modest edge in a low-scoring game between two unproven 2026 starters."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 57% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SEA
Edge: -2.0% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON
run line 46% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SEA -1.5
Edge: +4.7% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON
over under 65% MED The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Edge: +14.0% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

Odds Comparison

Sportsbook Type Away Home Total
BetMGM moneyline +125 -150
BetMGM over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
BetMGM run line -175 (-1.5) +145 (+1.5)
BetOnline.ag moneyline +124 -137
BetOnline.ag over under 7.5 (O -102/U -118)
BetOnline.ag run line -165 (-1.5) +145 (+1.5)
BetRivers moneyline +123 -155
BetRivers over under 7.5 (O -112/U -112)
BetRivers run line -180 (-1.5) +143 (+1.5)
BetUS moneyline +127 -141
BetUS over under 7.5 (O 100/U -120)
BetUS run line -165 (-1.5) +144 (+1.5)
Bovada moneyline +121 -144
Bovada over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
Bovada run line -175 (-1.5) +150 (+1.5)
Caesars moneyline +118 -140
Caesars over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
Caesars run line -170 (-1.5) +143 (+1.5)
DraftKings moneyline +119 -143
DraftKings over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
DraftKings run line -175 (-1.5) +144 (+1.5)
FanDuel moneyline +122 -144
FanDuel over under 7.5 (O -106/U -114)
FanDuel run line -172 (-1.5) +142 (+1.5)
Fanatics moneyline +120 -145
Fanatics over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
Fanatics run line -170 (-1.5) +140 (+1.5)
LowVig.ag moneyline +124 -137
LowVig.ag over under 7.5 (O 101/U -116)
LowVig.ag run line -165 (-1.5) +146 (+1.5)
MyBookie.ag moneyline +124 -145
MyBookie.ag over under 7.5 (O -104/U -118)
MyBookie.ag run line -175 (-1.5) +141 (+1.5)

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.