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Scheduled PNC Park
WSN
Washington Nationals
Foster Griffin
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PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-04-16 · 16:35 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (home)
run line All 3 models agree (home)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 42% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Pittsburgh's elite team pitching staff (3.02 ERA, best in sample) is the dominant factor in this matchup, giving the Pirates a significant edge at home despite the unknown home starter."

run line 32% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Pittsburgh's elite team pitching staff (3.02 ERA, best in sample) is the dominant factor in this matchup, giving the Pirates a significant edge at home despite the unknown home starter."

over under 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Pittsburgh's elite team pitching staff (3.02 ERA, best in sample) is the dominant factor in this matchup, giving the Pirates a significant edge at home despite the unknown home starter."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 39% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Pittsburgh's elite pitching staff (3.02 ERA, 9.84 K/9) dominates Washington's struggling road offense (1-5 away record, 0.77 OPS)."

run line 27% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Pittsburgh's elite pitching staff (3.02 ERA, 9.84 K/9) dominates Washington's struggling road offense (1-5 away record, 0.77 OPS)."

over under 39% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Pittsburgh's elite pitching staff (3.02 ERA, 9.84 K/9) dominates Washington's struggling road offense (1-5 away record, 0.77 OPS)."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 40% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
PIT
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
PIT -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under 45% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 10.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

Odds Comparison

Odds pending -- check back closer to game time.

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.