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Final 1-7
Petco Park
SFG
San Francisco Giants
Adrian Houser
1
@
SDP
San Diego Padres
Nick Pivetta
7
2026-04-01 · 20:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -46.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"San Francisco's historically poor early-season offense (.154 BA, 1.0 RPG) makes it difficult to project them scoring enough to win on the road, even against a struggling Padres lineup."
run line
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +0.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"San Francisco's historically poor early-season offense (.154 BA, 1.0 RPG) makes it difficult to project them scoring enough to win on the road, even against a struggling Padres lineup."
over under
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"San Francisco's historically poor early-season offense (.154 BA, 1.0 RPG) makes it difficult to project them scoring enough to win on the road, even against a struggling Padres lineup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SDP
Edge: -47.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SFG +1.5
Edge: -12.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
91%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 3.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +500 | -750 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 5.5 (O 100/U -130) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -125 (-2.5) | -102 (+2.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +132 | -146 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -104/U -116) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -167 (-1.5) | +147 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +950 | -5000 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 5.0 (O -127/U -112) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -110 (-2.5) | -127 (+2.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +131 | -146 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -165 (-1.5) | +144 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +550 | -1000 | |
| Bovada | over under | 5.5 (O -105/U -125) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -130 (-2.5) | +100 (+2.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +670 | -1200 | |
| Caesars | over under | 5.5 (O 115/U -145) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -110 (-2.5) | -120 (+2.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +526 | -950 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 5.5 (O 104/U -135) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -112 (-2.5) | -115 (+2.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +750 | -1600 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 5.5 (O 118/U -158) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -106 (-2.5) | -125 (+2.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +530 | -900 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 5.5 (O 100/U -130) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -125 (-2.5) | -105 (+2.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +132 | -146 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -101/U -114) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -167 (-1.5) | +148 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +850 | -2000 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 4.5 (O -143/U -105) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +150 (-2.5) | -222 (+2.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.