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Final 2-9
loanDepot park
CHW
Chicago White Sox
Erick Fedde
2
@
MIA
Miami Marlins
Janson Junk
9
2026-03-31 · 22:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +1.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Miami's dominant early-season pitching (2.00 ERA, 0.89 WHIP) facing a Chicago offense with a 44% strikeout rate and .206 batting average makes the Marlins heavy favorites at home."
run line
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +8.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Miami's dominant early-season pitching (2.00 ERA, 0.89 WHIP) facing a Chicago offense with a 44% strikeout rate and .206 batting average makes the Marlins heavy favorites at home."
over under
54%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Miami's dominant early-season pitching (2.00 ERA, 0.89 WHIP) facing a Chicago offense with a 44% strikeout rate and .206 batting average makes the Marlins heavy favorites at home."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
87%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIA
Edge: +26.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
92%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIA -1.5
Edge: +48.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
85%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 6.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +138 | -152 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -153 (-1.5) | +133 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +120 | -150 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -120) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -182 (-1.5) | +145 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +137 | -153 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +133 | -159 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +129 | -156 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -156 (-1.5) | +129 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +132 | -156 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -104/U -118) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -164 (-1.5) | +136 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +138 | -152 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -118/U 103) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -152 (-1.5) | +134 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +130 | -154 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -104/U -118) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -159 (-1.5) | +129 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.