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Final 3-7
Great American Ball Park
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
George Klassen
3
@
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
Brandon Williamson
7
2026-04-11 · 20:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
2 of 3 agree (home)
run line
2 of 3 agree (home)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -44.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Brandon Williamson's alarming 11.57 ERA in his only 2026 start is a major red flag, but Cincinnati's dominant bullpen and elite team pitching give the Reds a meaningful edge over a struggling Angels offense."
run line
24%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -28.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Brandon Williamson's alarming 11.57 ERA in his only 2026 start is a major red flag, but Cincinnati's dominant bullpen and elite team pitching give the Reds a meaningful edge over a struggling Angels offense."
over under
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Brandon Williamson's alarming 11.57 ERA in his only 2026 start is a major red flag, but Cincinnati's dominant bullpen and elite team pitching give the Reds a meaningful edge over a struggling Angels offense."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -47.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Cincinnati's superior pitching staff and defensive consistency (3.11 ERA, 1.23 WHIP) should dominate against LAA's weak offense in a low-scoring home victory."
run line
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +2.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Cincinnati's superior pitching staff and defensive consistency (3.11 ERA, 1.23 WHIP) should dominate against LAA's weak offense in a low-scoring home victory."
over under
61%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Cincinnati's superior pitching staff and defensive consistency (3.11 ERA, 1.23 WHIP) should dominate against LAA's weak offense in a low-scoring home victory."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAA
Edge: +17.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAA +1.5
Edge: -19.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 7.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +400 | -600 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 12.5 (O -120/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -150 (-2.5) | +118 (+2.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -103 | -107 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -177 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +390 | -715 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 12.0 (O -129/U -109) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +102 (-2.0) | -139 (+2.0) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +116 | -127 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +156 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +340 | -525 | |
| Bovada | over under | 12.5 (O -120/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -110 (-2.0) | -120 (+2.0) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +350 | -500 | |
| Caesars | over under | 12.5 (O -110/U -120) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -150 (-2.5) | +120 (+2.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -108 | -112 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -112 (-2.5) | -116 (+2.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -104 | -112 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -122/U 100) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +162 (+1.5) | -196 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -110 | -110 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +155 (+1.5) | -190 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -103 | -107 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -102/U -113) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -177 (-1.5) | +156 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +425 | -625 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 12.5 (O -118/U -125) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -125 (-2.5) | -111 (+2.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.