Skip to main content
Baseball Predictor
Log In
Back to Schedule
Scheduled Petco Park
SEA
Seattle Mariners
Luis Castillo
@
SDP
San Diego Padres
Walker Buehler
2026-04-17 · 00:40 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline 2 of 3 agree (away)
run line All 3 models agree (away)
over under 2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 40% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Walker Buehler's poor 2026 debut (6.75 ERA, 1.75 WHIP) versus Luis Castillo's strong form is the central matchup factor, though Seattle's feeble offense limits their ability to capitalize on any Buehler struggles."

run line 36% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Walker Buehler's poor 2026 debut (6.75 ERA, 1.75 WHIP) versus Luis Castillo's strong form is the central matchup factor, though Seattle's feeble offense limits their ability to capitalize on any Buehler struggles."

over under 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Walker Buehler's poor 2026 debut (6.75 ERA, 1.75 WHIP) versus Luis Castillo's strong form is the central matchup factor, though Seattle's feeble offense limits their ability to capitalize on any Buehler struggles."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Superior pitching matchup with Castillo's elite 2.79 ERA and 10.76 K/9 against Buehler's struggling 6.75 ERA makes Seattle the value play despite poor away record."

run line 27% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Superior pitching matchup with Castillo's elite 2.79 ERA and 10.76 K/9 against Buehler's struggling 6.75 ERA makes Seattle the value play despite poor away record."

over under 32% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Superior pitching matchup with Castillo's elite 2.79 ERA and 10.76 K/9 against Buehler's struggling 6.75 ERA makes Seattle the value play despite poor away record."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 49% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SDP
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line 51% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SEA +1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under 52% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

Odds Comparison
Odds pending -- check back closer to game time.

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.