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Final 0-3 Globe Life Field
SEA
Seattle Mariners
Bryan Woo
0
@
TEX
Texas Rangers
MacKenzie Gore
3
2026-04-08 · 18:35 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline 2 of 3 agree (away)
run line 2 of 3 agree (away)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 42% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -13.8% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Bryan Woo's elite 2026 strikeout and walk rates give Seattle a pitching edge, but MacKenzie Gore's command issues and Texas's home power could be the difference in a low-scoring contest."

run line 36% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -6.4% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Bryan Woo's elite 2026 strikeout and walk rates give Seattle a pitching edge, but MacKenzie Gore's command issues and Texas's home power could be the difference in a low-scoring contest."

over under 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"Bryan Woo's elite 2026 strikeout and walk rates give Seattle a pitching edge, but MacKenzie Gore's command issues and Texas's home power could be the difference in a low-scoring contest."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 49% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -6.8% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Seattle's superior pitching depth, particularly Bryan Woo's dominance with 13.5 K/9, should overcome Texas's home field disadvantage and poor home record of 0-3."

run line 39% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -3.4% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Seattle's superior pitching depth, particularly Bryan Woo's dominance with 13.5 K/9, should overcome Texas's home field disadvantage and poor home record of 0-3."

over under 62% MED The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"Seattle's superior pitching depth, particularly Bryan Woo's dominance with 13.5 K/9, should overcome Texas's home field disadvantage and poor home record of 0-3."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 47% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX
Edge: -1.1% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON
run line 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TEX -1.5
Edge: -27.1% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON
over under 55% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

Odds Comparison
Sportsbook Type Away Home Total
BetMGM moneyline -130 +110
BetMGM over under 7.5 (O -115/U -105)
BetMGM run line +135 (+1.5) -160 (-1.5)
BetOnline.ag moneyline -127 +115
BetOnline.ag over under 7.5 (O -112/U -108)
BetOnline.ag run line +136 (+1.5) -156 (-1.5)
BetRivers moneyline -124 +100
BetRivers over under 7.5 (O -108/U -115)
BetRivers run line +143 (+1.5) -180 (-1.5)
BetUS moneyline -126 +115
BetUS over under 7.5 (O -110/U -110)
BetUS run line +135 (+1.5) -155 (-1.5)
Bovada moneyline -131 +109
Bovada over under 7.5 (O -110/U -110)
Bovada run line +135 (+1.5) -160 (-1.5)
Caesars moneyline -130 +110
Caesars over under 7.5 (O -110/U -110)
Caesars run line +135 (+1.5) -160 (-1.5)
DraftKings moneyline -131 +109
DraftKings over under 7.5 (O -112/U -108)
DraftKings run line +135 (+1.5) -163 (-1.5)
FanDuel moneyline -126 +108
FanDuel over under 7.5 (O -112/U -108)
FanDuel run line +136 (+1.5) -164 (-1.5)
Fanatics moneyline -130 +110
Fanatics over under 7.5 (O -110/U -110)
Fanatics run line +135 (+1.5) -165 (-1.5)
LowVig.ag moneyline -127 +115
LowVig.ag over under 7.5 (O -109/U -105)
LowVig.ag run line +137 (+1.5) -155 (-1.5)
MyBookie.ag moneyline -128 +109
MyBookie.ag over under 7.5 (O -111/U -110)
MyBookie.ag run line +130 (+1.5) -159 (-1.5)

Team Stats

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