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Final 9-13
Kauffman Stadium
MIN
Minnesota Twins
Joe Ryan
9
@
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Noah Cameron
13
2026-04-01 · 23:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -5.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Joe Ryan's elite early-season performance (0.00 ERA, 12.35 K/9) against an unproven Noah Cameron with no 2026 stats gives Minnesota a clear pitching edge."
run line
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +12.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Joe Ryan's elite early-season performance (0.00 ERA, 12.35 K/9) against an unproven Noah Cameron with no 2026 stats gives Minnesota a clear pitching edge."
over under
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Joe Ryan's elite early-season performance (0.00 ERA, 12.35 K/9) against an unproven Noah Cameron with no 2026 stats gives Minnesota a clear pitching edge."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
KCR
Edge: -12.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
76%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
KCR -1.5
Edge: +13.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
87%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 5.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +135 | -160 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +145 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +133 | -147 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +149 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +135 | -167 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.0 (O -120/U -104) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -152 (-1.5) | +123 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -106 | -104 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +152 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -113 | -107 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -175 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +135 | -160 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +143 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -113 | -107 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +146 (+1.5) | -177 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +136 | -162 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.0 (O -122/U 100) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +132 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +133 | -147 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -102/U -113) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -170 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -116 | -101 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -106/U -115) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -187 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.