Back to Schedule
Final 1-13
Truist Park
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
Tanner Bibee
1
@
ATL
Atlanta Braves
Chris Sale
13
2026-04-12 · 23:20 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -25.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Atlanta's historically dominant team ERA (2.25) combined with Chris Sale's elite command (0.88 WHIP) against a Cleveland lineup batting just .220 makes the Braves heavy favorites at home."
run line
32%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -14.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Atlanta's historically dominant team ERA (2.25) combined with Chris Sale's elite command (0.88 WHIP) against a Cleveland lineup batting just .220 makes the Braves heavy favorites at home."
over under
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Atlanta's historically dominant team ERA (2.25) combined with Chris Sale's elite command (0.88 WHIP) against a Cleveland lineup batting just .220 makes the Braves heavy favorites at home."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -25.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"ATL's dominant pitching (2.25 team ERA) and offensive superiority (5.5 RPG vs 3.64) gives them clear advantage at home with series momentum."
run line
20%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -26.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"ATL's dominant pitching (2.25 team ERA) and offensive superiority (5.5 RPG vs 3.64) gives them clear advantage at home with series momentum."
over under
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"ATL's dominant pitching (2.25 team ERA) and offensive superiority (5.5 RPG vs 3.64) gives them clear advantage at home with series momentum."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL
Edge: -22.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL -1.5
Edge: -12.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +155 | -190 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +169 | -188 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -133 (-1.5) | +113 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +165 | -210 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.0 (O -120/U -104) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -137 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +162 | -185 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +159 | -194 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +162 | -195 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.0 (O -130/U 110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +155 | -188 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -141 (-1.5) | +117 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +164 | -196 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.0 (O -118/U -104) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -137 (-1.5) | +114 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +160 | -195 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +169 | -188 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -118/U 103) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -138 (-1.5) | +122 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +162 | -192 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -120/U -101) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -136 (-1.5) | +111 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.