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Final 7-1
Busch Stadium
BOS
Boston Red Sox
Ranger Suarez
7
@
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
Kyle Leahy
1
2026-04-11 · 23:15 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
2 of 3 agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -3.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Both pitchers are struggling with elevated ERAs and WHIP this season, but STL's strong home record and better run production give them a clear advantage at Busch Stadium."
run line
29%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -15.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Both pitchers are struggling with elevated ERAs and WHIP this season, but STL's strong home record and better run production give them a clear advantage at Busch Stadium."
over under
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Both pitchers are struggling with elevated ERAs and WHIP this season, but STL's strong home record and better run production give them a clear advantage at Busch Stadium."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -9.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"STL's superior run production (4.92 vs 3.67 RPG) and strong home record (4-2) against BOS's poor road performance (1-5) gives significant home advantage."
run line
54%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -4.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"STL's superior run production (4.92 vs 3.67 RPG) and strong home record (4-2) against BOS's poor road performance (1-5) gives significant home advantage."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"STL's superior run production (4.92 vs 3.67 RPG) and strong home record (4-2) against BOS's poor road performance (1-5) gives significant home advantage."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
STL
Edge: -4.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
STL -1.5
Edge: -19.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -140 | +118 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -121 | +110 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -143 | +115 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -104/U -121) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +123 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -141 | +127 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -143 | +120 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -140 | +118 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +122 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -126 | +104 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.0 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +123 (+1.5) | -149 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -122 | +104 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O -122/U 100) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +132 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +130 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -121 | +110 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -102/U -113) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +127 (+1.5) | -143 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -137 | +116 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -103/U -119) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +119 (+1.5) | -147 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.