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Final 5-0
T-Mobile Park
NYY
New York Yankees
Max Fried
5
@
SEA
Seattle Mariners
Logan Gilbert
0
2026-04-01 · 01:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +2.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Max Fried's dominant early-season performance (0.00 ERA, 0.47 WHIP) gives the Yankees a meaningful pitching edge over Logan Gilbert, who has shown some early-season vulnerability despite elite strikeout numbers."
run line
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +19.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Max Fried's dominant early-season performance (0.00 ERA, 0.47 WHIP) gives the Yankees a meaningful pitching edge over Logan Gilbert, who has shown some early-season vulnerability despite elite strikeout numbers."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Max Fried's dominant early-season performance (0.00 ERA, 0.47 WHIP) gives the Yankees a meaningful pitching edge over Logan Gilbert, who has shown some early-season vulnerability despite elite strikeout numbers."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
70%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SEA
Edge: +19.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
90%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SEA -1.5
Edge: +23.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
54%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 10.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -115 | -105 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +155 (+1.5) | -190 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +113 | -125 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -183 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -122 | -103 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.0 (O 100/U -124) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +150 (+1.5) | -186 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -108 | -102 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +164 (+1.5) | -190 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -112 | -108 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -185 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +158 (+1.5) | -190 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +104 | -126 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O 104/U -126) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +159 (+1.5) | -193 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +102 | -120 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +180 (+1.5) | -220 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -115 | -105 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +160 (+1.5) | -195 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +113 | -125 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O 107/U -123) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +161 (+1.5) | -183 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -112 | -104 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -102/U -119) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +157 (+1.5) | -196 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.