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Final 2-0
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CIN
Cincinnati Reds
Brandon Williamson
2
@
MIA
Miami Marlins
Janson Junk
0
2026-04-06 · 22:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
1 of 2 agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -10.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Brandon Williamson's dismal 11.57 ERA against Miami's league-leading offense (.284 BA, .817 OPS, 5.25 R/G) makes the Marlins a strong home favorite in this matchup."
run line
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -0.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Brandon Williamson's dismal 11.57 ERA against Miami's league-leading offense (.284 BA, .817 OPS, 5.25 R/G) makes the Marlins a strong home favorite in this matchup."
over under
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.0
Edge: -15.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Brandon Williamson's dismal 11.57 ERA against Miami's league-leading offense (.284 BA, .817 OPS, 5.25 R/G) makes the Marlins a strong home favorite in this matchup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIA
Edge: -5.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIA -1.5
Edge: +2.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Edge: -2.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +110 | -130 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +170 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +107 | -118 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +157 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +110 | -139 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -118/U -106) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +118 | -130 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +156 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +115 | -138 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +170 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +109 | -131 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -199 (-1.5) | +163 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +104 | -122 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +180 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +115 | -140 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +107 | -118 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +113 | -133 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -106/U -115) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -192 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.