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Final 6-13
Target Field
BOS
Boston Red Sox
Garrett Crochet
6
@
MIN
Minnesota Twins
Bailey Ober
13
2026-04-13 · 23:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
2 of 3 agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -2.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Minnesota's significant run-scoring advantage and Boston's persistent offensive struggles, especially on the road, make the Twins clear home favorites."
run line
33%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -22.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Minnesota's significant run-scoring advantage and Boston's persistent offensive struggles, especially on the road, make the Twins clear home favorites."
over under
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Minnesota's significant run-scoring advantage and Boston's persistent offensive struggles, especially on the road, make the Twins clear home favorites."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +15.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"MIN's strong home record and offensive edge combined with BOS's poor away performance creates a favorable matchup for the Twins."
run line
20%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -35.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"MIN's strong home record and offensive edge combined with BOS's poor away performance creates a favorable matchup for the Twins."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"MIN's strong home record and offensive edge combined with BOS's poor away performance creates a favorable matchup for the Twins."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BOS
Edge: -26.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
53%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIN -1.5
Edge: -2.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -160 | +135 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -130 | +118 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +108 (+1.5) | -128 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -165 | +133 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -113) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +104 (+1.5) | -129 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -156 | +139 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +110 (+1.5) | -130 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -168 | +140 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +105 (+1.5) | -125 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -135 | +115 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -136 | +113 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +113 (+1.5) | -136 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -136 | +116 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +126 (+1.5) | -152 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -140 | +115 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -130 | +118 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +111 (+1.5) | -126 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -167 | +142 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -106) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +108 (+1.5) | -132 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.