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Final 4-1
Citizens Bank Park
NYM
New York Mets
Christian Scott
4
@
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
Aaron Nola
1
2026-07-16 · 23:10 UTC
Predictions
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
52%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
PHI
Edge: -3.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
LOST
run line
43%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
PHI -1.5
Edge: +2.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
LOST
over under
48%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
Under 8.5
Edge: -2.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +106 | -117 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +165 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +108 | -122 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.5 (O -117/U -104) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +109 | -120 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +164 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +106 | -126 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +104 | -125 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.5 (O -108/U -112) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -189 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +108 | -126 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -178 (-1.5) | +146 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +106 | -117 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +166 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +107 | -125 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -115/U -106) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -177 (-1.5) | +149 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.