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Final 6-7
Daikin Park
COL
Colorado Rockies
Michael Lorenzen
6
@
HOU
Houston Astros
Spencer Arrighetti
7
2026-04-15 · 00:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -24.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Houston's potent offense (6.13 R/G, .839 OPS) paired with Colorado's poor road record (2-7) gives the Astros a clear home edge despite their own pitching struggles."
run line
31%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -15.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Houston's potent offense (6.13 R/G, .839 OPS) paired with Colorado's poor road record (2-7) gives the Astros a clear home edge despite their own pitching struggles."
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Houston's potent offense (6.13 R/G, .839 OPS) paired with Colorado's poor road record (2-7) gives the Astros a clear home edge despite their own pitching struggles."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -7.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Houston's superior offense and dominant home record (5-2) should overcome their pitching weaknesses against Colorado's struggling road team (2-7)."
run line
20%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -26.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Houston's superior offense and dominant home record (5-2) should overcome their pitching weaknesses against Colorado's struggling road team (2-7)."
over under
30%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 10.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Houston's superior offense and dominant home record (5-2) should overcome their pitching weaknesses against Colorado's struggling road team (2-7)."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOU
Edge: -26.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
32%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOU -1.5
Edge: -14.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 10.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +145 | -175 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +149 | -165 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -123/U 103) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -139 (-1.5) | +119 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +150 | -190 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -122/U -103) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -143 (-1.5) | +116 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +146 | -165 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +144 | -175 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +143 | -170 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +118 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +153 | -186 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -123/U 102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -138 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +146 | -174 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O -118/U -104) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +116 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +145 | -175 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +149 | -165 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -121/U 106) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -137 (-1.5) | +121 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +151 | -179 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -118/U -103) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -141 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.