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Final 2-4
Oracle Park
COL
Colorado Rockies
Kyle Freeland
2
@
SFG
San Francisco Giants
Tyler Mahle
4
2026-07-11 · 20:05 UTC
Predictions
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
51%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
SFG
Edge: -8.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
WON
run line
40%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
SFG -1.5
Edge: -1.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
WON
over under
53%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
Over 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +125 | -155 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +131 | -145 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +130 | -162 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 6.0 (O -157/U 108) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -175 (-3.0) | +125 (+3.0) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +130 | -145 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +121 | -144 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +130 | -155 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +143 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +129 | -156 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -116/U -104) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -171 (-1.5) | +141 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +122 | -144 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O -122/U 100) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -176 (-1.5) | +146 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +1500 | -4000 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -130) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -215 (-3.5) | +160 (+3.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +131 | -145 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +141 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +128 | -150 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -116/U -105) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -155 (-1.5) | +131 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.