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Final 10-11
Yankee Stadium
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
Yusei Kikuchi
10
@
NYY
New York Yankees
Will Warren
11
2026-04-13 · 23:05 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -25.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"The Yankees' elite pitching staff (2.60 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 2.54 BB/9) is the dominant factor in this matchup, giving them a significant edge over an Angels offense that strikes out at a 32.2% clip."
run line
33%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -14.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The Yankees' elite pitching staff (2.60 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 2.54 BB/9) is the dominant factor in this matchup, giving them a significant edge over an Angels offense that strikes out at a 32.2% clip."
over under
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The Yankees' elite pitching staff (2.60 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 2.54 BB/9) is the dominant factor in this matchup, giving them a significant edge over an Angels offense that strikes out at a 32.2% clip."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -7.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"NYY's significantly superior pitching (2.60 ERA, 2.54 BB/9) provides the decisive edge against LAA's weak offensive lineup."
run line
22%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -25.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"NYY's significantly superior pitching (2.60 ERA, 2.54 BB/9) provides the decisive edge against LAA's weak offensive lineup."
over under
56%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"NYY's significantly superior pitching (2.60 ERA, 2.54 BB/9) provides the decisive edge against LAA's weak offensive lineup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY
Edge: -29.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
57%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY -1.5
Edge: +9.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +165 | -200 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -120 (-1.5) | +100 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +145 | -160 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -126 (-1.5) | +106 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +150 | -190 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.5 (O -108/U -115) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -137 (-1.5) | +112 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +158 | -180 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +152 | -184 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +140 | -165 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +139 | -168 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -136 (-1.5) | +113 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +142 | -168 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O -122/U 100) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -152 (-1.5) | +126 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +140 | -170 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +145 | -160 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -123 (-1.5) | +109 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +159 | -189 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -108/U -114) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -127 (-1.5) | +104 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.