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Final 13-2
Citizens Bank Park
WSN
Washington Nationals
Foster Griffin
13
@
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
Taijuan Walker
2
2026-03-30 · 22:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -0.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The massive pitching disparity — Taijuan Walker's 1,278-inning career track record vs. Foster Griffin's 8 career innings and 6.75 ERA — is the defining factor favoring Philadelphia despite their sluggish early-season offense."
run line
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +0.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"The massive pitching disparity — Taijuan Walker's 1,278-inning career track record vs. Foster Griffin's 8 career innings and 6.75 ERA — is the defining factor favoring Philadelphia despite their sluggish early-season offense."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Edge: -1.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"The massive pitching disparity — Taijuan Walker's 1,278-inning career track record vs. Foster Griffin's 8 career innings and 6.75 ERA — is the defining factor favoring Philadelphia despite their sluggish early-season offense."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
59%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
WSN
Edge: +19.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
60%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
WSN +1.5
Edge: +2.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 10.0
Edge: -8.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +145 | -175 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +118 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +150 | -166 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -117/U -103) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -138 (-1.5) | +118 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +150 | -186 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.0 (O -109/U -113) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -143 (-1.5) | +116 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +146 | -165 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +147 | -179 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +143 | -170 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +146 | -177 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -138 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +140 | -166 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +132 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +140 | -170 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +150 | -166 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U 100) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -136 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +146 | -172 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -119/U -103) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -142 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.