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Final 1-6
T-Mobile Park
HOU
Houston Astros
Cody Bolton
1
@
SEA
Seattle Mariners
Logan Gilbert
6
2026-04-12 · 20:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
2 of 3 agree (home)
run line
2 of 3 agree (home)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +26.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Houston's elite offense (6.07 R/G, .821 OPS) against a struggling Logan Gilbert (5.40 ERA in 2026) is the primary matchup to watch, though Gilbert's strong career baseline and Seattle's excellent pitching staff could limit damage."
run line
29%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -28.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Houston's elite offense (6.07 R/G, .821 OPS) against a struggling Logan Gilbert (5.40 ERA in 2026) is the primary matchup to watch, though Gilbert's strong career baseline and Seattle's excellent pitching staff could limit damage."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Houston's elite offense (6.07 R/G, .821 OPS) against a struggling Logan Gilbert (5.40 ERA in 2026) is the primary matchup to watch, though Gilbert's strong career baseline and Seattle's excellent pitching staff could limit damage."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -40.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"SEA's dominant pitching staff (2.86 ERA) overwhelms HOU's struggling road offense (1-6 away record), creating pitching-dominated matchup."
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -9.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"SEA's dominant pitching staff (2.86 ERA) overwhelms HOU's struggling road offense (1-6 away record), creating pitching-dominated matchup."
over under
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"SEA's dominant pitching staff (2.86 ERA) overwhelms HOU's struggling road offense (1-6 away record), creating pitching-dominated matchup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
56%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SEA
Edge: -42.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SEA -1.5
Edge: +0.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +145 | -175 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +149 | -165 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +132 | -165 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -104/U -120) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -177 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +144 | -162 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +130 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +550 | -1000 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -125/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -145 (-3.0) | +110 (+3.0) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +143 | -170 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +118 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +144 | -175 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -149 (-1.5) | +123 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +136 | -162 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -102/U -120) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -166 (-1.5) | +138 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +145 | -175 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +149 | -165 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -149 (-1.5) | +132 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +1100 | -5000 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.0 (O -133/U -105) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -133 (-3.5) | -105 (+3.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.