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Final 1-9
Coors Field
HOU
Houston Astros
Cristian Javier
1
@
COL
Colorado Rockies
Michael Lorenzen
9
2026-04-08 · 19:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (away)
run line
2 of 3 agree (away)
over under
All 3 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -13.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Colorado's lack of a confirmed starter combined with Coors Field's run-inflating environment heavily favors the Houston offense, which is already among the most productive in early 2026."
run line
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY -1.5
Edge: +0.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Colorado's lack of a confirmed starter combined with Coors Field's run-inflating environment heavily favors the Houston offense, which is already among the most productive in early 2026."
over under
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 11.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Colorado's lack of a confirmed starter combined with Coors Field's run-inflating environment heavily favors the Houston offense, which is already among the most productive in early 2026."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -10.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Houston's superior overall talent and record advantage, combined with Colorado's poor home performance, outweighs Coors Field's elevation effect."
run line
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +10.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Houston's superior overall talent and record advantage, combined with Colorado's poor home performance, outweighs Coors Field's elevation effect."
over under
65%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Houston's superior overall talent and record advantage, combined with Colorado's poor home performance, outweighs Coors Field's elevation effect."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOU
Edge: -16.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
COL -1.5
Edge: -36.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 10.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -145 | +118 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -118) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +190 (-6.5) | -250 (+6.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -131 | +119 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 11.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +100 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -157 | +125 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.5 (O 102/U -141) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +175 (-6.5) | -245 (+6.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -133 | +121 | |
| BetUS | over under | 11.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +100 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -141 | +118 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.5 (O -120/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -125 (-7.0) | -105 (+7.0) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -140 | +118 | |
| Caesars | over under | 10.5 (O 145/U -180) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -260 (-7.5) | +200 (+7.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -143 | +119 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.5 (O -127/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +226 (-6.5) | -312 (+6.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -146 | +124 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.5 (O -125/U -106) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +198 (-6.5) | -275 (+6.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -140 | +115 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -130) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -475 (-7.5) | +320 (+7.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -131 | +119 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 11.5 (O 103/U -118) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +103 (+1.5) | -117 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -141 | +120 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -143) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +170 (-6.5) | -250 (+6.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.