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Final 1-4
Coors Field
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
Taijuan Walker
1
@
COL
Colorado Rockies
Tomoyuki Sugano
4
2026-04-05 · 19:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -16.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Coors Field combined with Taijuan Walker's brutal early-season struggles (11.57 ERA, 6.43 BB/9) creates a high-scoring environment that Philadelphia's superior offense is best positioned to exploit."
run line
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -13.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Coors Field combined with Taijuan Walker's brutal early-season struggles (11.57 ERA, 6.43 BB/9) creates a high-scoring environment that Philadelphia's superior offense is best positioned to exploit."
over under
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Coors Field combined with Taijuan Walker's brutal early-season struggles (11.57 ERA, 6.43 BB/9) creates a high-scoring environment that Philadelphia's superior offense is best positioned to exploit."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
53%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
PHI
Edge: -8.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
COL -1.5
Edge: -10.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -165 | +140 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 11.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -110 (+1.5) | -110 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -150 | +136 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 11.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -105 (+1.5) | -115 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -167 | +133 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 11.5 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -107 (+1.5) | -117 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -153 | +137 | |
| BetUS | over under | 11.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -105 (+1.5) | -115 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -155 | +130 | |
| Bovada | over under | 11.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -105 (+1.5) | -115 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -160 | +135 | |
| Caesars | over under | 11.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -110 (+1.5) | -110 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -156 | +129 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 11.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -105 (+1.5) | -115 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -158 | +134 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 11.0 (O -120/U -102) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -104 (+1.5) | -115 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -155 | +130 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 11.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -105 (+1.5) | -115 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -150 | +136 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 11.0 (O -118/U 103) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -102 (+1.5) | -112 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -156 | +132 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 11.0 (O -118/U -104) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -108 (+1.5) | -114 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.