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Final 2-8 Oriole Park at Camden Yards
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Seth Lugo
2
@
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
Shane Baz
8
2026-07-12 · 17:35 UTC

Predictions

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 59% The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value. Read more in the FAQ →
KCR
Edge: +14.8% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Read more in the FAQ → Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. Read more in the FAQ → LOST
run line 43% The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value. Read more in the FAQ →
BAL -1.5
Edge: +1.7% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Read more in the FAQ → Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. Read more in the FAQ → WON
over under 51% The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value. Read more in the FAQ →
Over 9.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. Read more in the FAQ → WON

Odds Comparison

Sportsbook Type Away Home Total
BetMGM moneyline +130 -155
BetMGM over under 9.5 (O -115/U -105)
BetMGM run line -150 (-1.5) +125 (+1.5)
BetOnline.ag moneyline +132 -146
BetOnline.ag over under 9.5 (O -113/U -107)
BetOnline.ag run line -153 (-1.5) +133 (+1.5)
BetRivers moneyline +120 -150
BetRivers over under 9.5 (O -114/U -109)
BetRivers run line -175 (-1.5) +140 (+1.5)
BetUS moneyline +131 -146
BetUS over under 9.5 (O -115/U -105)
BetUS run line -155 (-1.5) +135 (+1.5)
Bovada moneyline +132 -158
Bovada over under 9.5 (O -110/U -110)
Bovada run line -150 (-1.5) +130 (+1.5)
Caesars moneyline +130 -155
Caesars over under 9.5 (O -115/U -105)
Caesars run line -160 (-1.5) +135 (+1.5)
DraftKings moneyline +129 -156
DraftKings over under 9.5 (O -112/U -107)
DraftKings run line -157 (-1.5) +130 (+1.5)
FanDuel moneyline +126 -148
FanDuel over under 9.5 (O -110/U -110)
FanDuel run line -172 (-1.5) +142 (+1.5)
Fanatics moneyline +130 -155
Fanatics over under 9.5 (O -110/U -110)
Fanatics run line -155 (-1.5) +130 (+1.5)
LowVig.ag moneyline +132 -146
LowVig.ag over under 9.5 (O -110/U -104)
LowVig.ag run line -152 (-1.5) +134 (+1.5)
MyBookie.ag moneyline +130 -153
MyBookie.ag over under 9.5 (O -111/U -110)
MyBookie.ag run line -148 (-1.5) +125 (+1.5)

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.