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Final 0-2
Kauffman Stadium
CHW
Chicago White Sox
Davis Martin
0
@
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Kris Bubic
2
2026-04-10 · 23:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -21.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Kansas City's superior team-wide stats and home advantage combined with Chicago's poor road record and depleted roster give the Royals a meaningful edge despite Davis Martin's hot start."
run line
23%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -21.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Kansas City's superior team-wide stats and home advantage combined with Chicago's poor road record and depleted roster give the Royals a meaningful edge despite Davis Martin's hot start."
over under
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Kansas City's superior team-wide stats and home advantage combined with Chicago's poor road record and depleted roster give the Royals a meaningful edge despite Davis Martin's hot start."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -26.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Davis Martin's exceptional current pitching form (2.45 ERA) provides CHW's best chance to stay competitive despite the team's severe offensive struggles (.207 BA) and poor road record."
run line
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +4.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Davis Martin's exceptional current pitching form (2.45 ERA) provides CHW's best chance to stay competitive despite the team's severe offensive struggles (.207 BA) and poor road record."
over under
56%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Davis Martin's exceptional current pitching form (2.45 ERA) provides CHW's best chance to stay competitive despite the team's severe offensive struggles (.207 BA) and poor road record."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
KCR
Edge: -23.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
KCR -1.5
Edge: -8.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +150 | -180 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -102/U -118) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +156 | -173 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +155 | -200 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -108/U -115) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -148 (-1.5) | +118 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +153 | -173 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +150 | -182 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +158 | -190 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +122 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +153 | -186 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -138 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +152 | -180 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -137 (-1.5) | +114 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +150 | -180 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -125 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +156 | -173 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -102/U -113) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -143 (-1.5) | +127 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +154 | -182 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -104/U -118) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +119 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.