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Scheduled Progressive Field
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
Trevor Rogers
@
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
Joey Cantillo
2026-04-19 · 17:40 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline 2 of 3 agree (home)
run line All 3 models agree (home)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 43% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Joey Cantillo's elite strikeout rate (10.69 K/9) and low ERA this season gives Cleveland a meaningful pitching advantage at home."

run line 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Joey Cantillo's elite strikeout rate (10.69 K/9) and low ERA this season gives Cleveland a meaningful pitching advantage at home."

over under 36% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Joey Cantillo's elite strikeout rate (10.69 K/9) and low ERA this season gives Cleveland a meaningful pitching advantage at home."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 43% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Joey Cantillo's superior strikeout rate (10.69 K/9) and lower ERA (2.61) versus Trevor Rogers (7.76 K/9, 3.04 ERA) gives CLE a pitching advantage at home."

run line 42% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Joey Cantillo's superior strikeout rate (10.69 K/9) and lower ERA (2.61) versus Trevor Rogers (7.76 K/9, 3.04 ERA) gives CLE a pitching advantage at home."

over under 41% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Joey Cantillo's superior strikeout rate (10.69 K/9) and lower ERA (2.61) versus Trevor Rogers (7.76 K/9, 3.04 ERA) gives CLE a pitching advantage at home."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 55% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
BAL
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line 38% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
CLE -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under 53% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

Odds Comparison
Odds pending -- check back closer to game time.

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.