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Final 0-10
loanDepot park
CHW
Chicago White Sox
Shane Smith
0
@
MIA
Miami Marlins
Sandy Alcantara
10
2026-04-01 · 17:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -24.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Sandy Alcantara's elite early-season form and career track record create a massive pitching advantage over a struggling Shane Smith and a CHW lineup with an alarming 40%+ strikeout rate."
run line
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +5.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Sandy Alcantara's elite early-season form and career track record create a massive pitching advantage over a struggling Shane Smith and a CHW lineup with an alarming 40%+ strikeout rate."
over under
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Sandy Alcantara's elite early-season form and career track record create a massive pitching advantage over a struggling Shane Smith and a CHW lineup with an alarming 40%+ strikeout rate."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
87%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIA
Edge: +27.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
53%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIA -1.5
Edge: +13.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
85%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +125 | -150 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +127 | -140 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -183 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +123 | -155 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -106/U -118) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +126 | -140 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +121 | -144 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +122 | -145 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +123 | -149 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -186 (-1.5) | +153 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +124 | -146 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -192 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +120 | -145 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +127 | -140 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -102/U -113) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -183 (-1.5) | +161 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +127 | -149 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -111) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.