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Final 0-1
Angel Stadium
SEA
Seattle Mariners
Emerson Hancock
0
@
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
Jack Kochanowicz
1
2026-04-05 · 01:38 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
1 of 2 agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
1 of 2 agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -25.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Jack Kochanowicz's poor career numbers (5.77 ERA, 5-17 record) and LAA's alarming walk rate (5.95 BB/9) give Seattle's lineup an edge despite both offenses being below average early in 2026."
run line
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -7.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Jack Kochanowicz's poor career numbers (5.77 ERA, 5-17 record) and LAA's alarming walk rate (5.95 BB/9) give Seattle's lineup an edge despite both offenses being below average early in 2026."
over under
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Jack Kochanowicz's poor career numbers (5.77 ERA, 5-17 record) and LAA's alarming walk rate (5.95 BB/9) give Seattle's lineup an edge despite both offenses being below average early in 2026."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAA
Edge: +4.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
LAA -1.5
Edge: -15.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -170 | +140 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -105 (+1.5) | -115 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -160 | +145 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.5 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +100 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -152 | +123 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.5 (O -106/U -117) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +106 (+1.5) | -132 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -156 | +139 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +100 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -157 | +131 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +105 (+1.5) | -125 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -165 | +140 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.5 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +100 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -171 | +141 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.5 (O 104/U -126) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +100 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -166 | +140 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -104 (+1.5) | -115 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -165 | +135 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +100 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -160 | +145 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.5 (O 107/U -123) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +103 (+1.5) | -117 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -159 | +134 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -106/U -115) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +101 (+1.5) | -123 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.