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Scheduled Rate Field
TBR
Tampa Bay Rays
Steven Matz
@
CHW
Chicago White Sox
Anthony Kay
2026-04-16 · 18:10 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (away)
run line All 3 models agree (away)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 45% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Chicago's historically weak offense (.192 BA, .568 OPS, 31.8% K rate) facing a steady Steven Matz is the defining mismatch of this game."

run line 36% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Chicago's historically weak offense (.192 BA, .568 OPS, 31.8% K rate) facing a steady Steven Matz is the defining mismatch of this game."

over under 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Chicago's historically weak offense (.192 BA, .568 OPS, 31.8% K rate) facing a steady Steven Matz is the defining mismatch of this game."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"TBR's superior offensive performance and Steven Matz's strong early season form against a struggling CHW offense led by Anthony Kay with elevated walk rates."

run line 28% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"TBR's superior offensive performance and Steven Matz's strong early season form against a struggling CHW offense led by Anthony Kay with elevated walk rates."

over under 35% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"TBR's superior offensive performance and Steven Matz's strong early season form against a struggling CHW offense led by Anthony Kay with elevated walk rates."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 40% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TBR
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TBR +1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under 50% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

Odds Comparison
Odds pending -- check back closer to game time.

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.