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Final 0-3
Busch Stadium
NYM
New York Mets
Kodai Senga
0
@
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
Andre Pallante
3
2026-03-31 · 23:45 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (away)
run line
1 of 2 agree (away)
over under
All 2 models agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -5.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Kodai Senga's elite strikeout ability provides NYM a clear pitching edge, but STL's powerful early-season offense at home makes this a competitive game that could go either way."
run line
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: +10.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Kodai Senga's elite strikeout ability provides NYM a clear pitching edge, but STL's powerful early-season offense at home makes this a competitive game that could go either way."
over under
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Kodai Senga's elite strikeout ability provides NYM a clear pitching edge, but STL's powerful early-season offense at home makes this a competitive game that could go either way."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYM
Edge: -15.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
86%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
STL -1.5
Edge: +28.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
83%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 13.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -155 | +130 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +115 (+1.5) | -135 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -155 | +140 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -175 | +135 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -120/U -104) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +102 (+1.5) | -127 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -140 | +126 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +125 (+1.5) | -145 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -144 | +121 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +120 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -160 | +135 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +118 (+1.5) | -140 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -163 | +135 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +114 (+1.5) | -137 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -156 | +132 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -122/U 100) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +110 (+1.5) | -132 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -165 | +135 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +105 (+1.5) | -125 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -155 | +140 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -118/U 103) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +127 (+1.5) | -143 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -152 | +128 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -106/U -115) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +109 (+1.5) | -134 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.