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Scheduled Progressive Field
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
@
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
Logan Allen
2026-07-18 · 20:10 UTC

Predictions

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 46% The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value. Read more in the FAQ →
CLE
Edge: -9.8% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Read more in the FAQ → Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. Read more in the FAQ →
run line 33% The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value. Read more in the FAQ →
CLE -1.5
Edge: -4.3% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Read more in the FAQ → Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. Read more in the FAQ →
over under 46% The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value. Read more in the FAQ →
Under 9.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. Read more in the FAQ →

Odds Comparison

Sportsbook Type Away Home Total
BetMGM moneyline -110 -110
BetMGM over under 8.0 (O -120/U 100)
BetMGM run line +145 (+1.5) -175 (-1.5)
BetOnline.ag moneyline -105 -105
BetOnline.ag over under 8.0 (O -120/U 100)
BetOnline.ag run line +153 (+1.5) -175 (-1.5)
BetRivers moneyline -105 -113
BetRivers over under 8.0 (O -113/U -106)
BetRivers run line +150 (+1.5) -182 (-1.5)
BetUS moneyline +115 -126
BetUS over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
BetUS run line -195 (-1.5) +168 (+1.5)
Bovada moneyline -103 -117
Bovada over under 8.0 (O -115/U -105)
Bovada run line -225 (-1.5) +185 (+1.5)
Caesars moneyline -110 -110
Caesars over under 8.0 (O -120/U 100)
Caesars run line +150 (+1.5) -178 (-1.5)
DraftKings moneyline -110 -110
DraftKings over under 8.0 (O -116/U -104)
DraftKings run line +152 (+1.5) -185 (-1.5)
FanDuel moneyline -104 -112
FanDuel over under 8.5 (O -105/U -115)
FanDuel run line +160 (+1.5) -194 (-1.5)
Fanatics moneyline -105 -115
Fanatics over under 8.5 (O 100/U -120)
Fanatics run line +155 (+1.5) -190 (-1.5)
LowVig.ag moneyline -105 -105
LowVig.ag over under 8.0 (O -118/U 103)
LowVig.ag run line +154 (+1.5) -175 (-1.5)
MyBookie.ag moneyline -106 -111
MyBookie.ag over under 8.0 (O -118/U -103)
MyBookie.ag run line +154 (+1.5) -182 (-1.5)

Team Stats

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