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Final 1-5
Rogers Centre
COL
Colorado Rockies
Ryan Feltner
1
@
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
Max Scherzer
5
2026-03-31 · 23:07 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
68%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -4.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Max Scherzer's elite career strikeout ability matches up perfectly against Colorado's league-worst strikeout rate, giving Toronto a strong pitching advantage in a lopsided matchup."
run line
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +0.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Max Scherzer's elite career strikeout ability matches up perfectly against Colorado's league-worst strikeout rate, giving Toronto a strong pitching advantage in a lopsided matchup."
over under
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Max Scherzer's elite career strikeout ability matches up perfectly against Colorado's league-worst strikeout rate, giving Toronto a strong pitching advantage in a lopsided matchup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
80%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR
Edge: +7.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
88%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR -1.5
Edge: +33.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
53%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +225 | -275 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +105 (-1.5) | -125 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +225 | -252 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +102 (-1.5) | -122 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +210 | -275 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -120) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -113 (-1.5) | -110 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +222 | -260 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +105 (-1.5) | -125 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +220 | -270 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +215 | -267 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +218 | -271 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +100 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +215 | -260 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -102 (-1.5) | -118 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +210 | -260 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | +115 (-1.5) | -140 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +225 | -252 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -118/U 103) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +105 (-1.5) | -119 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +217 | -263 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -106/U -115) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -101 (-1.5) | -120 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.