Skip to main content
Baseball Predictor
Log In
Back to Schedule
Final 4-10 Rogers Centre
MIN
Minnesota Twins
Simeon Woods Richardson
4
@
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
Patrick Corbin
10
2026-04-10 · 23:07 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (away)
run line 2 of 3 agree (away)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 39% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -4.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Patrick Corbin's uncertain 2026 form (no current-season stats) combined with Toronto catcher Alejandro Kirk's thumb surgery creates significant home-side vulnerability against a Minnesota offense averaging 4.75 runs per game."

run line 39% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -20.8% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Patrick Corbin's uncertain 2026 form (no current-season stats) combined with Toronto catcher Alejandro Kirk's thumb surgery creates significant home-side vulnerability against a Minnesota offense averaging 4.75 runs per game."

over under 51% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Patrick Corbin's uncertain 2026 form (no current-season stats) combined with Toronto catcher Alejandro Kirk's thumb surgery creates significant home-side vulnerability against a Minnesota offense averaging 4.75 runs per game."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 55% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +11.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Toronto's loss of catcher Alejandro Kirk to injury combined with Minnesota's superior pitching metrics gives the visiting Twins a slight edge in a low-scoring game."

run line 48% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -11.8% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Toronto's loss of catcher Alejandro Kirk to injury combined with Minnesota's superior pitching metrics gives the visiting Twins a slight edge in a low-scoring game."

over under 58% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Toronto's loss of catcher Alejandro Kirk to injury combined with Minnesota's superior pitching metrics gives the visiting Twins a slight edge in a low-scoring game."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 47% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIN
Edge: +3.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST
run line 53% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
TOR -1.5
Edge: +9.9% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON
over under 38% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

Odds Comparison
Sportsbook Type Away Home Total
BetMGM moneyline +130 -155
BetMGM over under 9.0 (O -110/U -110)
BetOnline.ag moneyline -104 -106
BetOnline.ag over under 8.0 (O 105/U -125)
BetOnline.ag run line -150 (-1.5) +130 (+1.5)
BetRivers moneyline +115 -143
BetRivers over under 9.0 (O -106/U -118)
BetRivers run line -180 (-1.5) +143 (+1.5)
BetUS moneyline +137 -153
BetUS over under 9.0 (O -110/U -110)
BetUS run line -155 (-1.5) +135 (+1.5)
Bovada moneyline +132 -158
Bovada over under 9.0 (O -105/U -115)
Bovada run line -160 (-1.5) +135 (+1.5)
Caesars moneyline -110 -110
Caesars over under 7.5 (O -120/U 100)
Caesars run line -160 (-1.5) +135 (+1.5)
DraftKings moneyline -110 -110
DraftKings over under 7.5 (O -118/U -102)
DraftKings run line -156 (-1.5) +129 (+1.5)
FanDuel moneyline -108 -108
FanDuel over under 7.5 (O -115/U -105)
FanDuel run line +162 (+1.5) -196 (-1.5)
Fanatics moneyline -105 -115
Fanatics over under 7.5 (O -120/U 100)
Fanatics run line +155 (+1.5) -190 (-1.5)
LowVig.ag moneyline -104 -106
LowVig.ag over under 8.0 (O 107/U -123)
LowVig.ag run line -149 (-1.5) +132 (+1.5)
MyBookie.ag moneyline +130 -154
MyBookie.ag over under 9.0 (O -105/U -116)
MyBookie.ag run line -154 (-1.5) +125 (+1.5)

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.