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Final 8-6 American Family Field
WSN
Washington Nationals
Zack Littell
8
@
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
Brandon Woodruff
6
2026-04-12 · 18:10 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline 2 of 3 agree (home)
run line 2 of 3 agree (home)
over under 2 of 3 agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 43% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -26.2% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Brandon Woodruff's career pedigree (3.14 ERA, 10.5 K/9) gives Milwaukee a significant pitching edge over Zack Littell, who is struggling with command (4.5 bb/9 vs. 2.06 career), favoring the Brewers at home."

run line 29% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -22.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Brandon Woodruff's career pedigree (3.14 ERA, 10.5 K/9) gives Milwaukee a significant pitching edge over Zack Littell, who is struggling with command (4.5 bb/9 vs. 2.06 career), favoring the Brewers at home."

over under 52% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

"Brandon Woodruff's career pedigree (3.14 ERA, 10.5 K/9) gives Milwaukee a significant pitching edge over Zack Littell, who is struggling with command (4.5 bb/9 vs. 2.06 career), favoring the Brewers at home."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 39% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -30.2% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Milwaukee's substantially superior pitching and strong home field advantage (5-2) should overcome Washington's struggling road performance (4-3)."

run line 18% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -33.5% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Milwaukee's substantially superior pitching and strong home field advantage (5-2) should overcome Washington's struggling road performance (4-3)."

over under 50% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Milwaukee's substantially superior pitching and strong home field advantage (5-2) should overcome Washington's struggling road performance (4-3)."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 46% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
WSN
Edge: +11.3% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON
run line 54% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
WSN +1.5
Edge: +0.9% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON
over under 53% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 11.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. WON

Odds Comparison
Sportsbook Type Away Home Total
BetMGM moneyline +185 -225
BetMGM over under 7.5 (O -115/U -105)
BetMGM run line -110 (-1.5) -110 (+1.5)
BetOnline.ag moneyline +184 -205
BetOnline.ag over under 8.0 (O 100/U -120)
BetOnline.ag run line -123 (-1.5) +103 (+1.5)
BetRivers moneyline +188 -240
BetRivers over under 8.0 (O -109/U -114)
BetRivers run line -122 (-1.5) +100 (+1.5)
BetUS moneyline +186 -215
BetUS over under 8.0 (O 100/U -120)
BetUS run line -125 (-1.5) +105 (+1.5)
Bovada moneyline +180 -220
Bovada over under 7.5 (O -115/U -105)
Bovada run line -120 (-1.5) +100 (+1.5)
Caesars moneyline +185 -225
Caesars over under 7.5 (O -120/U 100)
Caesars run line -125 (-1.5) +105 (+1.5)
DraftKings moneyline +184 -226
DraftKings over under 7.5 (O -118/U -102)
DraftKings run line -126 (-1.5) +104 (+1.5)
FanDuel moneyline +188 -225
FanDuel over under 7.5 (O -122/U 100)
FanDuel run line -113 (-1.5) -106 (+1.5)
Fanatics moneyline +180 -220
Fanatics over under 7.5 (O -120/U 100)
Fanatics run line -120 (-1.5) +100 (+1.5)
LowVig.ag moneyline +184 -205
LowVig.ag over under 8.0 (O 103/U -118)
LowVig.ag run line -120 (-1.5) +106 (+1.5)
MyBookie.ag moneyline +185 -222
MyBookie.ag over under 7.5 (O -119/U -103)
MyBookie.ag run line -125 (-1.5) +102 (+1.5)

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.