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Final 8-2
Angel Stadium
ATL
Atlanta Braves
Grant Holmes
8
@
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
Reid Detmers
2
2026-04-08 · 20:07 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (away)
run line
All 3 models agree (away)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -55.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Atlanta's elite team pitching (1.82 ERA) against an Angels offense with a 33.3% strikeout rate makes ATL the value pick, though Grant Holmes' early struggles introduce meaningful uncertainty."
run line
30%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -31.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Atlanta's elite team pitching (1.82 ERA) against an Angels offense with a 33.3% strikeout rate makes ATL the value pick, though Grant Holmes' early struggles introduce meaningful uncertainty."
over under
48%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Atlanta's elite team pitching (1.82 ERA) against an Angels offense with a 33.3% strikeout rate makes ATL the value pick, though Grant Holmes' early struggles introduce meaningful uncertainty."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -52.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"ATL's significantly superior team ERA (1.82 vs 3.34) and offensive production advantage should control this game despite playing away."
run line
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -24.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"ATL's significantly superior team ERA (1.82 vs 3.34) and offensive production advantage should control this game despite playing away."
over under
65%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"ATL's significantly superior team ERA (1.82 vs 3.34) and offensive production advantage should control this game despite playing away."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
40%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL
Edge: -59.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
53%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL +1.5
Edge: -8.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 9.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -10000 | +2500 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 13.5 (O 120/U -155) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -160 (+5.5) | +125 (-5.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -120 | +109 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | +135 (+1.5) | -155 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -134 | +106 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 13.0 (O -139/U -103) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -148 (+5.5) | +107 (-5.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -117 | +107 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | +140 (+1.5) | -160 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -124 | +104 | |
| Bovada | over under | 13.5 (O -115/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -120 (+6.0) | -110 (-6.0) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -125 | +105 | |
| Caesars | over under | 12.5 (O -140/U 110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -145 (+5.5) | +115 (-5.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -122 | +102 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 12.5 (O -147/U 113) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -153 (+5.5) | +115 (-5.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -10000 | +1700 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 12.5 (O -158/U 118) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -160 (+5.5) | +120 (-5.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -10000 | +2500 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 13.5 (O 105/U -140) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -150 (+5.5) | +115 (-5.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -120 | +109 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | +136 (+1.5) | -154 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -122 | +104 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 13.5 (O -118/U -118) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | +105 (+6.5) | -143 (-6.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.