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Final 7-8 T-Mobile Park
HOU
Houston Astros
Lance McCullers Jr.
7
@
SEA
Seattle Mariners
Luis Castillo
8
2026-04-12 · 01:40 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (away)
run line 2 of 3 agree (away)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 37% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -7.6% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Luis Castillo's dominant early-season form anchors a strong Seattle pitching staff, but Houston's massive offensive advantage (6.08 vs 3.08 R/G) and McCullers' sharp return make the Astros slight favorites despite poor road record."

run line 38% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -25.8% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Luis Castillo's dominant early-season form anchors a strong Seattle pitching staff, but Houston's massive offensive advantage (6.08 vs 3.08 R/G) and McCullers' sharp return make the Astros slight favorites despite poor road record."

over under 43% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"Luis Castillo's dominant early-season form anchors a strong Seattle pitching staff, but Houston's massive offensive advantage (6.08 vs 3.08 R/G) and McCullers' sharp return make the Astros slight favorites despite poor road record."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 36% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -8.6% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"McCullers' elite early-season form and Houston's superior offense against Seattle's bottom-tier hitting attack should deliver Astros victory."

run line 55% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -8.8% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"McCullers' elite early-season form and Houston's superior offense against Seattle's bottom-tier hitting attack should deliver Astros victory."

over under 61% MED The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

"McCullers' elite early-season form and Houston's superior offense against Seattle's bottom-tier hitting attack should deliver Astros victory."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 48% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOU
Edge: +3.4% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST
run line 49% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
SEA -1.5
Edge: +8.3% Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market. Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST
over under 53% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.0
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds. LOST

Odds Comparison
Sportsbook Type Away Home Total
BetMGM moneyline +130 -155
BetMGM over under 7.5 (O 100/U -120)
BetMGM run line -170 (-1.5) +140 (+1.5)
BetOnline.ag moneyline +135 -149
BetOnline.ag over under 7.5 (O 102/U -122)
BetOnline.ag run line -165 (-1.5) +145 (+1.5)
BetRivers moneyline +120 -150
BetRivers over under 7.5 (O -110/U -113)
BetRivers run line -182 (-1.5) +145 (+1.5)
BetUS moneyline +132 -147
BetUS over under 7.5 (O 100/U -120)
BetUS run line -165 (-1.5) +144 (+1.5)
Bovada moneyline +127 -152
Bovada over under 7.5 (O 100/U -120)
Bovada run line -175 (-1.5) +150 (+1.5)
Caesars moneyline +130 -155
Caesars over under 7.5 (O 100/U -120)
Caesars run line -170 (-1.5) +143 (+1.5)
DraftKings moneyline +129 -156
DraftKings over under 7.5 (O 102/U -122)
DraftKings run line -168 (-1.5) +139 (+1.5)
FanDuel moneyline +124 -146
FanDuel over under 7.5 (O -105/U -115)
FanDuel run line -176 (-1.5) +146 (+1.5)
Fanatics moneyline +125 -150
Fanatics over under 7.5 (O 100/U -120)
Fanatics run line -180 (-1.5) +150 (+1.5)
LowVig.ag moneyline +135 -149
LowVig.ag over under 7.5 (O 105/U -120)
LowVig.ag run line -165 (-1.5) +146 (+1.5)
MyBookie.ag moneyline +130 -154
MyBookie.ag over under 7.5 (O -101/U -120)
MyBookie.ag run line -167 (-1.5) +136 (+1.5)

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.