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Final 1-5
Coors Field
HOU
Houston Astros
Mike Burrows
1
@
COL
Colorado Rockies
Kyle Freeland
5
2026-04-08 · 00:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
2 of 3 agree (away)
run line
2 of 3 agree (away)
over under
2 of 3 agree (over)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -13.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Coors Field amplifies Houston's already potent offense against a Colorado squad with the worst run-scoring rate in this dataset, making the Astros heavy favorites despite pitching concerns on both sides."
run line
30%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY -1.5
Edge: -22.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Coors Field amplifies Houston's already potent offense against a Colorado squad with the worst run-scoring rate in this dataset, making the Astros heavy favorites despite pitching concerns on both sides."
over under
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 10.5
Edge: -17.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Coors Field amplifies Houston's already potent offense against a Colorado squad with the worst run-scoring rate in this dataset, making the Astros heavy favorites despite pitching concerns on both sides."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -13.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Houston's significantly superior offensive capabilities (0.282 BA, 7.0 RPG) overwhelm Colorado's struggling lineup (0.219 BA, 3.33 RPG) despite Freeland's quality pitching."
run line
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -8.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Houston's significantly superior offensive capabilities (0.282 BA, 7.0 RPG) overwhelm Colorado's struggling lineup (0.219 BA, 3.33 RPG) despite Freeland's quality pitching."
over under
65%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 10.5
Edge: +12.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Houston's significantly superior offensive capabilities (0.282 BA, 7.0 RPG) overwhelm Colorado's struggling lineup (0.219 BA, 3.33 RPG) despite Freeland's quality pitching."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
COL
Edge: +6.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
53%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
COL -1.5
Edge: +1.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
45%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 10.5
Edge: -7.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -170 | +140 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 10.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -115 (+1.5) | -105 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | -153 | +139 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 12.5 (O 108/U -128) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -110 (+1.5) | -110 (-1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | -186 | +150 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 11.0 (O -105/U -118) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -117 (+1.5) | -107 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | -160 | +142 | |
| BetUS | over under | 11.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -108 (+1.5) | -110 (-1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -172 | +142 | |
| Bovada | over under | 11.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -115 (+1.5) | -105 (-1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | -160 | +135 | |
| Caesars | over under | 12.0 (O 105/U -125) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -110 (+1.5) | -110 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | -163 | +135 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 12.0 (O 104/U -126) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -112 (+1.5) | -108 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | -154 | +130 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 11.5 (O 100/U -122) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | +100 (+1.5) | -120 (-1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | -155 | +130 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 11.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -110 (+1.5) | -110 (-1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | -153 | +139 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 12.5 (O 110/U -126) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -107 (+1.5) | -107 (-1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -169 | +144 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 11.0 (O -104/U -118) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -112 (+1.5) | -108 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.