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Scheduled
Citizens Bank Park
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
Chase Burns
@
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
Jesús Luzardo
2026-05-19 · 22:40 UTC
Predictions
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
55%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
CIN
Edge: +10.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
run line
36%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
PHI -1.5
Edge: -5.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
over under
44%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +125 | -150 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -165 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +131 | -145 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +118 | -148 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -108) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -182 (-1.5) | +145 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +129 | -143 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +122 | -145 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +145 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +124 | -149 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -114/U -105) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -171 (-1.5) | +141 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +124 | -146 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -172 (-1.5) | +142 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +125 | -150 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +131 | -145 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +141 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +122 | -144 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -116/U -104) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +142 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.