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Final 8-2
Rogers Centre
MIN
Minnesota Twins
Taj Bradley
8
@
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
Max Scherzer
2
2026-04-12 · 17:37 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
2 of 3 agree (away)
run line
2 of 3 agree (away)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -8.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Taj Bradley's dominant 2026 season (1.08 ERA, 12.22 K/9) gives Minnesota a significant pitching edge despite Scherzer's veteran pedigree and Toronto's home advantage."
run line
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -31.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Taj Bradley's dominant 2026 season (1.08 ERA, 12.22 K/9) gives Minnesota a significant pitching edge despite Scherzer's veteran pedigree and Toronto's home advantage."
over under
38%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Taj Bradley's dominant 2026 season (1.08 ERA, 12.22 K/9) gives Minnesota a significant pitching edge despite Scherzer's veteran pedigree and Toronto's home advantage."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +0.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Max Scherzer's Hall of Fame pedigree and elite career performance provide Toronto with significant pitcher advantage despite Taj Bradley's early-season excellence."
run line
16%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -22.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Max Scherzer's Hall of Fame pedigree and elite career performance provide Toronto with significant pitcher advantage despite Taj Bradley's early-season excellence."
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Max Scherzer's Hall of Fame pedigree and elite career performance provide Toronto with significant pitcher advantage despite Taj Bradley's early-season excellence."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIN
Edge: -4.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIN +1.5
Edge: -24.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +110 | -130 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +120 | -132 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -125/U 105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -188 (-1.5) | +164 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +117 | -148 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -108) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +118 | -130 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +164 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +115 | -138 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +165 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +115 | -135 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +113 | -136 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -194 (-1.5) | +159 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +116 | -136 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -114/U -106) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -192 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +115 | -140 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +120 | -132 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -123/U 107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -188 (-1.5) | +165 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +116 | -137 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -115/U -106) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -194 (-1.5) | +156 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.