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Scheduled
Citizens Bank Park
NYM
New York Mets
Sean Manaea
@
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
Jesús Luzardo
2026-07-18 · 20:05 UTC
Predictions
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
54%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
PHI
Edge: -9.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
run line
42%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
PHI -1.5
Edge: -4.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Read more in the FAQ →
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
over under
56%
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Most calibrated picks fall in the 40-65% range — pair with edge over the market for value.
Read more in the FAQ →
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Read more in the FAQ →
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +140 | -170 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.5 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +147 | -163 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +150 | -175 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -104) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -139 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +144 | -162 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +144 | -175 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +150 | -178 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +142 | -172 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.5 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -142 (-1.5) | +118 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +144 | -172 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -138 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +140 | -170 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +147 | -163 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -116/U 101) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -138 (-1.5) | +122 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +142 | -169 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -117/U -104) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -145 (-1.5) | +122 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.