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Final 9-4
loanDepot park
CHW
Chicago White Sox
Davis Martin
9
@
MIA
Miami Marlins
Chris Paddack
4
2026-03-30 · 22:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 2 models agree (home)
run line
All 2 models agree (home)
over under
All 2 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +2.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Miami's dominant early-season pitching (2.00 ERA, 0.89 WHIP) versus Chicago's historically poor staff (10.13 ERA, 2.38 WHIP) is the decisive edge in this matchup."
run line
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +13.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Miami's dominant early-season pitching (2.00 ERA, 0.89 WHIP) versus Chicago's historically poor staff (10.13 ERA, 2.38 WHIP) is the decisive edge in this matchup."
over under
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Edge: +4.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Miami's dominant early-season pitching (2.00 ERA, 0.89 WHIP) versus Chicago's historically poor staff (10.13 ERA, 2.38 WHIP) is the decisive edge in this matchup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
87%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIA
Edge: +27.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
92%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIA -1.5
Edge: +53.2%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
85%
HIGH
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 6.5
Edge: +34.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +125 | -150 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +154 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +127 | -140 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +157 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +120 | -150 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -113/U -110) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +127 | -141 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +156 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +125 | -149 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +118 | -140 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +123 | -149 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -112/U -108) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -186 (-1.5) | +153 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +120 | -142 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -178 (-1.5) | +146 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +120 | -145 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +127 | -140 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.5 (O -113/U -102) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +123 | -145 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -111/U -110) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +148 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.