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Live 8-5
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
ARI
Arizona Diamondbacks
Eduardo Rodriguez
8
@
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
Kyle Bradish
5
2026-04-15 · 16:35 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (away)
run line
All 3 models agree (away)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -9.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Kyle Bradish's alarming control issues (6.59 BB/9) and inflated ERA this season give Arizona a significant edge despite pitching on the road."
run line
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -28.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Kyle Bradish's alarming control issues (6.59 BB/9) and inflated ERA this season give Arizona a significant edge despite pitching on the road."
over under
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Kyle Bradish's alarming control issues (6.59 BB/9) and inflated ERA this season give Arizona a significant edge despite pitching on the road."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: -9.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Rodriguez's elite career resume and strong early-season performance gives Arizona the edge against struggling home pitcher Kyle Bradish."
run line
29%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -35.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Rodriguez's elite career resume and strong early-season performance gives Arizona the edge against struggling home pitcher Kyle Bradish."
over under
25%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
"Rodriguez's elite career resume and strong early-season performance gives Arizona the edge against struggling home pitcher Kyle Bradish."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
55%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ARI
Edge: +10.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line
61%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ARI +1.5
Edge: -3.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +100 | -125 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -130/U 100) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -220 (-1.5) | +170 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +123 | -165 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -112/U -127) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -125 (-1.0) | -109 (+1.0) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +125 | -165 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -125 (-1.0) | -105 (+1.0) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +120 | -150 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +135 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +126 | -166 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -130/U 100) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -166 (-1.5) | +127 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +124 | -160 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -130/U -102) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +134 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +110 | -145 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.5 (O -105/U -125) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +125 | -167 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -125/U -111) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -167 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.