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Scheduled Yankee Stadium
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
@
NYY
New York Yankees
Max Fried
2026-04-16 · 17:35 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (home)
run line All 3 models agree (home)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 45% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Max Fried's dominant 1.35 ERA start to 2026 against an Angels lineup with a 32.2% strikeout rate and no confirmed starter is the decisive edge for New York."

run line 36% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Max Fried's dominant 1.35 ERA start to 2026 against an Angels lineup with a 32.2% strikeout rate and no confirmed starter is the decisive edge for New York."

over under 36% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Max Fried's dominant 1.35 ERA start to 2026 against an Angels lineup with a 32.2% strikeout rate and no confirmed starter is the decisive edge for New York."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 39% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Max Fried's elite pitching (1.35 ERA) combined with NYY's superior team ERA gives the Yankees a significant advantage at home."

run line 27% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Max Fried's elite pitching (1.35 ERA) combined with NYY's superior team ERA gives the Yankees a significant advantage at home."

over under 56% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Max Fried's elite pitching (1.35 ERA) combined with NYY's superior team ERA gives the Yankees a significant advantage at home."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 41% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line 31% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY -1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under 53% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

Odds Comparison
Odds pending -- check back closer to game time.

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.