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Final 1-2
Comerica Park
KCR
Kansas City Royals
Cole Ragans
1
@
DET
Detroit Tigers
Framber Valdez
2
2026-04-14 · 22:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -13.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Framber Valdez's elite early-season form (0.75 ERA) combined with Detroit's strong home record and Kansas City's weak road offense makes DET the clear favorite in this pitching matchup."
run line
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -1.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Framber Valdez's elite early-season form (0.75 ERA) combined with Detroit's strong home record and Kansas City's weak road offense makes DET the clear favorite in this pitching matchup."
over under
47%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Framber Valdez's elite early-season form (0.75 ERA) combined with Detroit's strong home record and Kansas City's weak road offense makes DET the clear favorite in this pitching matchup."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
32%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -22.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Framber Valdez's dominant 0.75 ERA performance combined with Detroit's strong home record creates a clear pitching advantage for the home team."
run line
20%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -16.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Framber Valdez's dominant 0.75 ERA performance combined with Detroit's strong home record creates a clear pitching advantage for the home team."
over under
30%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Framber Valdez's dominant 0.75 ERA performance combined with Detroit's strong home record creates a clear pitching advantage for the home team."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
DET
Edge: -10.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
33%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
DET -1.5
Edge: -3.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +100 | -120 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +165 (+1.5) | -200 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +116 | -128 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -202 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +100 | -124 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 8.0 (O -103/U -121) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | +175 (+1.5) | -230 (-1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +105 | -115 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +172 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -101 | -119 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +115 | -135 | |
| Caesars | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -205 (-1.5) | +170 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +113 | -136 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -108/U -112) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -199 (-1.5) | +163 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +108 | -126 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -210 (-1.5) | +172 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +110 | -130 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +116 | -128 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -107/U -107) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -201 (-1.5) | +176 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +106 | -125 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U -101) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +161 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.