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Scheduled Citizens Bank Park
ATL
Atlanta Braves
Grant Holmes
@
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
Andrew Painter
2026-04-19 · 23:20 UTC

Predictions

Cross-Model Agreement

moneyline All 3 models agree (away)
run line All 3 models agree (away)
over under All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet) LLM
moneyline 46% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Atlanta's dominant offense (5.75 RPG, .803 OPS) against Philadelphia's struggling pitching staff (5.14 ERA) is the defining edge, despite Andrew Painter's promising strikeout numbers."

run line 36% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Atlanta's dominant offense (5.75 RPG, .803 OPS) against Philadelphia's struggling pitching staff (5.14 ERA) is the defining edge, despite Andrew Painter's promising strikeout numbers."

over under 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Atlanta's dominant offense (5.75 RPG, .803 OPS) against Philadelphia's struggling pitching staff (5.14 ERA) is the defining edge, despite Andrew Painter's promising strikeout numbers."

Haiku Current Series Record LLM
moneyline 50% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Atlanta's elite pitching staff (2.78 ERA) and superior overall record (13-7) should overwhelm Philadelphia's offensive struggles (0.227 BA, 3.79 RPG) and poor home performance (5-8)."

run line 34% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Atlanta's elite pitching staff (2.78 ERA) and superior overall record (13-7) should overwhelm Philadelphia's offensive struggles (0.227 BA, 3.79 RPG) and poor home performance (5-8)."

over under 42% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

"Atlanta's elite pitching staff (2.78 ERA) and superior overall record (13-7) should overwhelm Philadelphia's offensive struggles (0.227 BA, 3.79 RPG) and poor home performance (5-8)."

ML Baseline ML
moneyline 43% NO EDGE The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
run line 53% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
ATL +1.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
over under 48% LOW The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.5
Market: The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.

Odds Comparison
Odds pending -- check back closer to game time.

Team Stats

Stats not yet available.