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Final 4-7
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CIN
Cincinnati Reds
Brady Singer
4
@
MIA
Miami Marlins
Eury Pérez
7
2026-04-08 · 22:40 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
All 3 models agree (home)
over under
2 of 3 agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -7.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Eury Pérez's dominant early-season performance (0.86 WHIP, 1.29 BB/9) versus Cincinnati's struggling offense (.209 BA, 2.89 R/G) is a massive pitching advantage for Miami."
run line
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -0.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Eury Pérez's dominant early-season performance (0.86 WHIP, 1.29 BB/9) versus Cincinnati's struggling offense (.209 BA, 2.89 R/G) is a massive pitching advantage for Miami."
over under
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Eury Pérez's dominant early-season performance (0.86 WHIP, 1.29 BB/9) versus Cincinnati's struggling offense (.209 BA, 2.89 R/G) is a massive pitching advantage for Miami."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -7.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Miami's exceptional home form (5-1) and offensive dominance combined with Singer's poor ERA (6.75) gives the Marlins a significant advantage."
run line
39%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +2.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Miami's exceptional home form (5-1) and offensive dominance combined with Singer's poor ERA (6.75) gives the Marlins a significant advantage."
over under
44%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Over 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Miami's exceptional home form (5-1) and offensive dominance combined with Singer's poor ERA (6.75) gives the Marlins a significant advantage."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIA
Edge: -10.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIA -1.5
Edge: -0.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
46%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +110 | -130 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +165 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +113 | -125 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +174 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +104 | -129 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -121/U -104) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -225 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +112 | -123 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +172 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +110 | -132 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +165 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +110 | -130 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Caesars | run line | +170 (+1.5) | -205 (-1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +109 | -131 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 7.5 (O -118/U -102) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | +169 (+1.5) | -206 (-1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +104 | -122 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 8.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +164 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +105 | -125 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 7.5 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -195 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +113 | -125 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 7.5 (O -118/U 103) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +175 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +110 | -128 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -108/U -114) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -204 (-1.5) | +163 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.