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Final 7-1
Yankee Stadium
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
Reid Detmers
7
@
NYY
New York Yankees
Ryan Weathers
1
2026-04-14 · 23:05 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
All 3 models agree (home)
run line
2 of 3 agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -23.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"NYY's dominant team pitching staff (2.60 ERA, 1.08 WHIP) gives them a strong structural advantage despite Weathers' rocky early-season numbers."
run line
33%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -23.9%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"NYY's dominant team pitching staff (2.60 ERA, 1.08 WHIP) gives them a strong structural advantage despite Weathers' rocky early-season numbers."
over under
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"NYY's dominant team pitching staff (2.60 ERA, 1.08 WHIP) gives them a strong structural advantage despite Weathers' rocky early-season numbers."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
32%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -32.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"NYY's significantly superior pitching staff (2.6 ERA, 1.08 WHIP) provides a decisive edge against the struggling Angels lineup."
run line
19%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -28.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"NYY's significantly superior pitching staff (2.6 ERA, 1.08 WHIP) provides a decisive edge against the struggling Angels lineup."
over under
28%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"NYY's significantly superior pitching staff (2.6 ERA, 1.08 WHIP) provides a decisive edge against the struggling Angels lineup."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
53%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY
Edge: -11.3%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
56%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
NYY -1.5
Edge: +8.4%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
over under
41%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +154 | -190 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +150 | -166 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -109/U -111) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -132 (-1.5) | +112 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +138 | -175 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 9.0 (O -113/U -110) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -150 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +147 | -166 | |
| BetUS | over under | 9.5 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +148 | -180 | |
| Bovada | over under | 9.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +150 | -178 | |
| Caesars | over under | 9.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +149 | -181 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 9.5 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -136 (-1.5) | +113 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +152 | -180 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 9.5 (O -102/U -120) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -132 (-1.5) | +110 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +145 | -175 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 9.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +150 | -166 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 9.5 (O -106/U -108) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -130 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +151 | -179 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 9.0 (O -120/U -102) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -137 (-1.5) | +112 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.