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Final 1-8
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CIN
Cincinnati Reds
Rhett Lowder
1
@
MIA
Miami Marlins
Max Meyer
8
2026-04-09 · 16:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
2 of 3 agree (away)
run line
2 of 3 agree (away)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
49%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +10.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Rhett Lowder's elite ERA (1.64) and WHIP (0.91) against Miami's struggling offense gives Cincinnati a significant pitching advantage."
run line
28%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY -1.5
Edge: -36.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Rhett Lowder's elite ERA (1.64) and WHIP (0.91) against Miami's struggling offense gives Cincinnati a significant pitching advantage."
over under
51%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Rhett Lowder's elite ERA (1.64) and WHIP (0.91) against Miami's struggling offense gives Cincinnati a significant pitching advantage."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
50%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +11.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Rhett Lowder's dominant pitching (1.64 ERA) significantly outmatches Max Meyer's 4.66 ERA, giving Cincinnati the edge despite playing on the road."
run line
43%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -21.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Rhett Lowder's dominant pitching (1.64 ERA) significantly outmatches Max Meyer's 4.66 ERA, giving Cincinnati the edge despite playing on the road."
over under
66%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Rhett Lowder's dominant pitching (1.64 ERA) significantly outmatches Max Meyer's 4.66 ERA, giving Cincinnati the edge despite playing on the road."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
54%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIA
Edge: -13.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
run line
37%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIA -1.5
Edge: -6.1%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
34%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +160 | -200 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 6.5 (O -120/U -105) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +140 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +160 | -230 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 6.5 (O -112/U -125) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -104 (-1.0) | -136 (+1.0) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +165 | -220 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O -110/U -120) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -135 (-1.5) | +105 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +160 | -200 | |
| Caesars | over under | 6.5 (O -105/U -125) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +125 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +163 | -217 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 6.5 (O -106/U -122) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +122 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +162 | -210 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 6.5 (O 100/U -132) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -178 (-1.5) | +132 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +165 | -220 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 6.5 (O 100/U -130) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -160 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +160 | -200 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 6.5 (O -118/U -125) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -167 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.