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Final 5-4
Citizens Bank Park
TEX
Texas Rangers
Jacob Latz
5
@
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
Aaron Nola
4
2026-03-28 · 20:05 UTC
Predictions
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
72%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: +13.7%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Philadelphia's superior team pitching (3.0 ERA vs 5.63) combined with strong early-season offensive production gives them a significant edge over Texas."
run line
62%
MED
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: +21.8%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Philadelphia's superior team pitching (3.0 ERA vs 5.63) combined with strong early-season offensive production gives them a significant edge over Texas."
over under
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 7.5
Edge: +5.6%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Philadelphia's superior team pitching (3.0 ERA vs 5.63) combined with strong early-season offensive production gives them a significant edge over Texas."
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | -235 | +185 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 3.5 (O -160/U 125) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | +118 (+1.5) | -150 (-1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +136 | -150 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +149 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +128 | -159 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -121/U -104) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -180 (-1.5) | +143 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +134 | -150 | |
| BetUS | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +148 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | -385 | +265 | |
| Bovada | over under | 8.5 (O -165/U 125) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -210 (+2.5) | +160 (-2.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +129 | -156 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 8.0 (O -105/U -115) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -175 (-1.5) | +144 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +126 | -148 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 7.5 (O -124/U 102) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -184 (-1.5) | +152 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +136 | -150 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 8.0 (O -102/U -113) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -170 (-1.5) | +150 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | -556 | +365 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 4.0 (O -143/U 105) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -105 (+1.5) | -133 (-1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.