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Final 1-6
Comerica Park
MIA
Miami Marlins
Janson Junk
1
@
DET
Detroit Tigers
Casey Mize
6
2026-04-11 · 17:10 UTC
Predictions
Cross-Model Agreement
moneyline
2 of 3 agree (away)
run line
2 of 3 agree (home)
over under
All 3 models agree (under)
AI Baseline (Sonnet)
LLM
moneyline
42%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME
Edge: -17.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Casey Mize's exceptional early 2026 performance (1.50 ERA, 13.5 K/9) gives Detroit a significant pitching advantage over the limited Janson Junk."
run line
24%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
HOME -1.5
Edge: -14.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Casey Mize's exceptional early 2026 performance (1.50 ERA, 13.5 K/9) gives Detroit a significant pitching advantage over the limited Janson Junk."
over under
53%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.0
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Casey Mize's exceptional early 2026 performance (1.50 ERA, 13.5 K/9) gives Detroit a significant pitching advantage over the limited Janson Junk."
Haiku Current Series Record
LLM
moneyline
58%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY
Edge: +13.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Miami's superior team metrics and Detroit's weak overall record (4-8) provide an edge for the visiting Marlins despite pitching uncertainty."
run line
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
AWAY +1.5
Edge: -14.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
"Miami's superior team metrics and Detroit's weak overall record (4-8) provide an edge for the visiting Marlins despite pitching uncertainty."
over under
59%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 8.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
"Miami's superior team metrics and Detroit's weak overall record (4-8) provide an edge for the visiting Marlins despite pitching uncertainty."
ML Baseline
ML
moneyline
36%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
MIA
Edge: -9.0%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
LOST
run line
35%
NO EDGE
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
DET -1.5
Edge: -3.5%
Our model's probability minus the sportsbook's implied probability. Higher edge = bigger perceived advantage over the market.
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
over under
52%
LOW
The model's calibrated probability that a prediction is correct (0-100%). Tiers: HIGH (75%+), MED (60-74%), LOW (45-59%), NO EDGE (<45%).
Under 9.5
Market:
The implied probability derived from the sportsbook's current betting odds.
WON
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Type | Away | Home | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | moneyline | +115 | -135 | |
| BetMGM | over under | 7.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| BetMGM | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| BetOnline.ag | moneyline | +175 | -195 | |
| BetOnline.ag | over under | 6.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| BetOnline.ag | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +161 (+1.5) | |
| BetRivers | moneyline | +120 | -148 | |
| BetRivers | over under | 7.5 (O -103/U -122) | ||
| BetRivers | run line | -200 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| BetUS | moneyline | +116 | -127 | |
| BetUS | over under | 7.0 (O -120/U 100) | ||
| BetUS | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +164 (+1.5) | |
| Bovada | moneyline | +114 | -136 | |
| Bovada | over under | 7.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Bovada | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +160 (+1.5) | |
| Caesars | moneyline | +115 | -135 | |
| Caesars | over under | 7.0 (O -110/U -110) | ||
| Caesars | run line | -190 (-1.5) | +158 (+1.5) | |
| DraftKings | moneyline | +169 | -207 | |
| DraftKings | over under | 6.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| DraftKings | run line | -188 (-1.5) | +155 (+1.5) | |
| FanDuel | moneyline | +176 | -210 | |
| FanDuel | over under | 6.0 (O -115/U -105) | ||
| FanDuel | run line | -144 (-1.5) | +120 (+1.5) | |
| Fanatics | moneyline | +165 | -200 | |
| Fanatics | over under | 6.5 (O 100/U -120) | ||
| Fanatics | run line | -140 (-1.5) | +115 (+1.5) | |
| LowVig.ag | moneyline | +175 | -195 | |
| LowVig.ag | over under | 6.5 (O 103/U -118) | ||
| LowVig.ag | run line | -185 (-1.5) | +162 (+1.5) | |
| MyBookie.ag | moneyline | +120 | -141 | |
| MyBookie.ag | over under | 7.5 (O 101/U -123) | ||
| MyBookie.ag | run line | -188 (-1.5) | +152 (+1.5) |
Team Stats
Stats not yet available.